This top data scientist’s (non-AI) model finds Republicans have just one chance in six of holding Senate

I started following Thomas Miller’s political forecasts during the January 2021 Senate races in Georgia. Just a few days before the election, the polls and pundits anticipated a relatively easy win for both Republican candidates. But Miller—a prominent data scientist and professor at Northwestern University—posited a Democratic sweep, and he was right. He also called Trump’s victory in 2024. What’s different about Miller’s models? They’re far more current than the polls, and they’re centered on prediction market prices that are typically a better guide than the voter surveys—plus Miller adjusts the outlook in every Senatorial contest by using all we…

Source: Fortune Crypto