Bitcoin’s 2026 $200,000 Odds Stand at 1% on Polymarket
Photo: TokenPost
Bitcoin (BTC) has a 1% implied chance of reaching $200,000 before the end of 2026 in a Polymarket contract, with the market assigning higher probabilities to lower price thresholds. The $200,000 contract recorded $2.09 million in volume when accessed Oct. 10. The broader 2026 Bitcoin price event had recorded $73.34 million in volume. The same market showed a 30% implied probability that Bitcoin would reach $100,000, 7% for $120,000 and 3% for $140,000 before the deadline. The CME CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index displayed $86,056.42 at 10:33 a.m. ET (14:33 UTC) on Oct. 6.
Source: TokenPost
