Markets Put Democrats' Chance to Control Both Chambers at 74% to 78%
Photo: TokenPost
Prediction markets on Kalshi and Polymarket put Democrats’ chances of winning control of the House and Senate in the 2026 midterms at 74% to 78%, with combined trading volume above $158 million. Polymarket displayed a 78% probability for Democrats to control both chambers, with more than $58 million in related market volume. Kalshi’s figure was 74%, with contract volume above $100 million. Combined, the two volume figures exceeded $158 million. Separate Senate markets showed odds of 74% to 76% for James Talarico to win in Texas, 73% for Troy Jackson in Maine and 78% for Abdul El-Sayed in Michigan.
Source: TokenPost
