Backing Polymarket’s primary favorites would have lost 4%, new audit finds.
Photo: CryptoSlate
A hypothetical strategy of backing the favorite on prediction market Polymarket in every scored 2026 US primary would have lost 4%, even though those candidates won 87% of the time, according to blockchain data provider Bitquery’s scorecard dated Oct. 9. The result separates two questions for election bettors: who is most likely to win, and whether their contract is worth the price. Bitquery found that the candidate with the highest study reference price won 238 of 273 Senate, House and governor primaries.
Source: CryptoSlate
